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Connecticut Economic Outlook, August 2009: How Deep the Hole? - Fred Carstensen - August 19, 2009

PLEASE NOTE: This material is EMBARGOED FOR WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 19 AT 5 A.M. Please do not use this information prior to the embargo time.

BACKGROUND: Today’s audio is with Dr. Fred Carstensen, Director of the Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis at the University of Connecticut and professor in the Department of Economics.

The CCEA Connecticut Economic Outlook is released every three months by the CCEA’s Forecasting and Analysis Group, and includes an array of critical economic indicators that track the state’s economic performance. Among them is the forecasting model for employment and GSP used to develop the CCEA Connecticut Economic Outlook. The Outlook provides a ten-quarter projection of state output and employment. 

This quarter, Dr. Carstensen comments on job creation, labor markets and current projections for Connecticut’s workforce through the forecast period.

AUDIO: Fred V. Carstensen, professor of economics and director of the Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis.

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Click to download Carstensen says that despite expectations for significant national economic growth in 2010, Connecticut’s labor markets are not likely to recover as quickly. :42 seconds  

Fred V. Carstensen, professor of economics and director of the Connecticut Center for Economic Analysis. CCEA website

  Thumbnail: Prof. Fred Carstensen
Click to download Carstensen expects to see a continued erosion of Connecticut jobs in 2010, with as many as 30,000 more job losses over the next year. :15 seconds
Click to download Connecticut’s actual unemployment rate is higher than the current estimate of 8 percent, Carstensen says. When you factor in people who have dropped out of the state’s labor force, the current unemployment rate would be closer to 9 percent. :37seconds
Click to download Young people between the ages of 16 and 25 and African-Americans are being hit hardest by the downturn in the labor market, Carstensen says. :31 seconds
Click to download Senior citizens over age 55  are jumping back into the workforce and staying longer in jobs to protect themselves financially, Carstensen says. :32 seconds

Credit: UConn Photo by Peter Morenus

Click to download Carstensen says the federal stimulus will help stem Connecticut’s economic losses, but state leaders must make policy changes to insure Connecticut’s long-term economic growth. :27 seconds
Click to download Carstensen says that if Connecticut leaders don’t take the initiative to generate new economic strategies, existing problems with the state’s economy will continue. :15 seconds    
Click to download Connecticut’s shoreline cities appear to be better positioned to recover in the current economy than interior urban areas, Carstensen says. 1:48 seconds    
Click to download Developing a stronger community college system is one way to strengthening Connecticut’s labor markets over the long haul, Carstensen says. :31 seconds    
Click to download Carstensen says strengthening regional ties with surrounding states can help Connecticut and the region compete in today’s global economy. :35 seconds    
Click to download There is little chance Connecticut’s stagnant labor markets will improve, Carstensen says, unless state leaders invest in future economic growth. :21 seconds    
Click to download Carstensen says Connecticut’s economic troubles are not due solely to the current national recession; poor planning by the state over the years contributed. :27 seconds    
Click to download The current economic crisis presents an opportunity for Connecticut leaders to set important new long-term goals for state economic growth, Carstensen says. :26 seconds    

 

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